THE Letting Agent for 'Accidental' and Expat Landlords
Chartered Surveyors
The latest property figures seem contradictory. East Hertfordshire sale prices are higher than a year ago, yet buyers have become cautious, while rental supply remains tight even as rent growth slows. In fact, the figures make more sense once we stop treating “the property market” as one market.
The figures seem contradictory. They are not.
It is quite possible for house prices to be up while today's sales market feels decidedly less enthusiastic.
The latest official ONS and HM Land Registry figures put the average East Hertfordshire house price at £460,000 in May 2026, 4.2% higher than a year earlier. That sounds reasonably healthy. Semi-detached homes recorded the strongest annual rise among the main property types, at 5.8%, while flats rose by 2.2%.
Move forward a couple of months, however, and the picture becomes more cautious.
The July RICS Residential Market Survey reported weak buyer enquiries and agreed sales across England and Wales. Its buyer-enquiry net balance was -28 and the agreed-sales balance -30, while its house-price indicator remained negative. Those numbers are measures of how widespread increases or decreases are among surveyors, rather than literal percentage falls, but the message is fairly clear: buyers are not exactly knocking the doors down.
Rightmove's July figures point in much the same direction. In the East of England, which is the relevant ONS region for East Hertfordshire, the average new seller asking price was £419,527, 0.7% lower than a year earlier, and homes were taking an average of 66 days to find a buyer.
So which figure should Hertford and Ware homeowners believe?
All of them, with a little care.
The ONS figure measures completed prices and inevitably looks backwards. HMRC estimates that a completion typically happens two to four months after the buyer's original offer. Rightmove measures asking prices on newly marketed homes, while RICS asks professionals what they are currently seeing. They are different windows onto the same market at different stages.
The sensible interpretation is therefore not “East Herts prices are booming”, nor “the market is falling apart”. Prices achieved earlier in the year remained above last year's level, but the market sellers are facing now is more price-sensitive.
Buyers are still there, but they have time to think
There is little evidence of a market that has stopped functioning.
Bank of England mortgage approvals for house purchases increased to 58,200 in June from 56,600 in May. HMRC's seasonally adjusted UK transaction total reached 98,700 in June, 2% higher than a year earlier.
But buyers are operating against borrowing costs that remain material. The Bank of England's effective rate on newly drawn mortgages was 4.35% in June. Combined with greater choice of property for sale in the wider market, that gives purchasers more reason to be selective about both the house and the price.
For sellers in Hertford and Ware, that probably matters more than whether an index says the district was up 4.2% in May.
A property's value is ultimately determined by the competition it faces now and what a credible buyer is prepared and able to pay. Last year's sale down the road remains useful evidence. It is not an instruction to add 5% and see what happens.
Lettings are telling a different story
The rental market remains tighter.
Across East Hertfordshire, the average monthly private rent reached £1,505 in June, 2.4% higher than a year earlier. The RICS July survey recorded another substantial negative balance for landlord instructions, at -27, while surveyors continued to expect rents to rise over the following three months.
That broad supply problem is reflected locally. In our own response to the July RICS survey, we noted that demand was continuing to outstrip supply in Hertford, with stock slightly lower as some landlords left the sector, and with rents rising.
There is, however, a useful qualification.
The detailed ONS series shows East Hertfordshire's average rent has been sitting at around £1,500 since January. Annual growth has therefore slowed sharply compared with the increases seen last year. Zoopla's national new-let figures tell a similar story: available rental homes remain well below pre-pandemic levels, but new-let inflation has moderated to 2.1%.
So the better description is scarce rather than runaway.
A good rental property in Hertford or Ware can still attract strong interest. That does not mean the market will accept any rent placed upon it. Tenants have budgets too.
What does this mean for Hertford and Ware homeowners?
If your property is already for sale
Do not take East Hertfordshire's 4.2% annual price rise as reassurance that an ambitious asking price will eventually be vindicated. It is backward-looking completed-sales data. Current indicators suggest buyers are cautious and price-sensitive.
If viewings are weak, or viewings are plentiful but offers are not appearing, the useful question is not simply “should we wait?” It is whether the price, presentation and marketing still compare well with what buyers can choose from today.
If you are thinking of selling
There is no obvious evidence that you need to postpone a genuine move until some mythical “better market” arrives. Transactions are happening and mortgage approvals have improved from May. Equally, the figures do not give much support to assuming a strong autumn rise will bail out an optimistic valuation.
A realistic assessment of likely sale price and timescale is more useful than trying to call the top or bottom of the national market.
If you are a landlord
Supply remains constrained and Hertford demand remains healthy in our experience, which is a supportive backdrop for well-presented rental property. But district-wide rent inflation has slowed.
That argues for sensible rent-setting rather than squeezing every last pound from the headline figure. A reliable tenancy at a sustainable rent can be rather more valuable than winning the asking-price competition and then discovering nobody wishes to pay it.
If you are considering renting rather than selling
This is where the difference between the two markets becomes useful.
For some owners whose sale expectations are not being met, letting the property rather than selling immediately may be worth assessing. That is not the same as saying it is always the right answer.
The useful comparison is between a realistic achievable sale price and a realistic net rental position, after allowing for the owner's particular finance, maintenance, management, compliance, tax position, possible voids and longer-term plans. Individual tax and financial advice may also be necessary.
Sometimes selling is the cleanest answer. Sometimes retaining a good property through a softer sales period makes sense. The point is to run both sets of numbers before choosing.
The market is selective, not broken
Perhaps the biggest mistake at present is trying to summarise the whole property market in one statistic.
East Hertfordshire's completed prices can be higher than a year ago while today's buyers are more cautious. Hertford's rental supply can remain tight while district-wide rent inflation slows. Both statements can be true because they measure different places, periods and parts of the market.
For Hertford and Ware owners, the lesson is rather less dramatic than the headlines. Sellers need realism. Landlords still have a supportive supply-demand balance, but should respect affordability. And owners who genuinely have the choice between selling and letting should compare the actual numbers rather than relying on whichever national property story happens to be making the most noise that week.
If you own a property in Hertford or Ware and are weighing up whether to sell, wait or rent it out, we are happy to talk through the practical options.
© Knight PML Limited t/a Knight Property Management
Registered in England & Wales No. 6484470
Directors: J Hunter, D Porter MRICS
VAT No: 263 7376 80

Registered Office: Four Rivers House, Fentiman Walk,
Fore Street, Hertford, Hertfordshire SG14 1DB
📞 +44 (0)1992 308181
© Knight PML Limited t/a Knight Property Management
Registered in England & Wales No. 6484470
Directors: J Hunter, D Porter MRICS
VAT No: 263 7376 80

Registered Office: Four Rivers House, Fentiman Walk,
Fore Street, Hertford, Hertfordshire SG14 1DB
📞 +44 (0)1992 308181